Tuesday, May 20, 2014

General Elections 2014 - A Complete Analysis

2014 India General Elections were the biggest elections in democracy that humans have ever witnessed.

The elections were held from April 7th 2014 to May 12th 2014 in 9 phases. A total of 814.5 million voters were eligible to vote and about 553.8 million votes were casted.

Taking the data available in the public domain, I ran some analytics and found some interesting results.

Top 5 parties with maximum number of seats
PARTY SEATS
BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY 282
INDIAN NATIONAL CONGRESS 44
ALL INDIA ANNA DRAVIDA MUNNETRA KAZHAGAM 37
ALL INDIA TRINAMOOL CONGRESS 34
BIJU JANATA DAL 20

Well, everyone knows that isn't it? Let's see top 5 parties with maximum number of 2nd place.

Top 5 parties with maximum number of 2nd place
PARTY SEATS
INDIAN NATIONAL CONGRESS 224
BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY 54
BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY 36
SAMAJWADI PARTY 31
COMMUNIST PARTY OF INDIA (MARXIST) 30

As many as 431 parties won ZERO seats!

Which party fielded maximum number of candidates?

Maximum number of candidates - Party Wise
NO. OF CANDIDATES PARTY
503 BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY
464 INDIAN NATIONAL CONGRESS
432 AAM AADMI PARTY
428 BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY
232 BAHUJAN MUKTI PARTY

Well, Well, Who got maximum number of votes?

Maximum number of votes
CANDIDATE PARTY CONSTITUENCY VOTES
RAMCHARAN BOHARA BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY JAIPUR 863358
SUMITRA MAHAJAN (TAI) BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY INDORE 854972
NARENDRA MODI BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY VADODARA 845464
C. R. PATIL BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY NAVSARI 820831
L.K.ADVANI BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY GANDHINAGAR 773539

Which constituency had maximum number of votes casted?

Constituency with maximum number of voters
STATE CONSTITUENCY TOTAL VOTES
ANDHRA PRADESH MALKAJGIRI 1620397
ASSAM GAUHATI 1511729
KARNATAKA BANGALORE RURAL 1455244
ASSAM DHUBRI 1369624
WEST BENGAL GHATAL 1366709

Let's look at the vote shares of Top 10 parties.

Vote Shares
PARTY PARTY VOTES TOTAL VOTES VOTE SHARE
BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY 171657549 553801801 0.31
INDIAN NATIONAL CONGRESS 106938242 553801801 0.1931
BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY 22946182 553801801 0.0414
ALL INDIA TRINAMOOL CONGRESS 21259681 553801801 0.0384
SAMAJWADI PARTY 18672916 553801801 0.0337
ALL INDIA ANNA DRAVIDA MUNNETRA KAZHAGAM 18115825 553801801 0.0327
COMMUNIST PARTY OF INDIA (MARXIST) 17986773 553801801 0.0325
INDEPENDENT 16743719 553801801 0.0302
TELUGU DESAM 14094545 553801801 0.0255
YUVAJANA SRAMIKA RYTHU CONGRESS PARTY 13991280 553801801 0.0253

Who were the undisputed winners of 2014?

Winner by maximum vote share
CANDIDATE PARTY CONSTITUENCY VOTES TOTAL VOTES VOTE SHARE
DARSHANA VIKRAM JARDOSH BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY SURAT 718412 947922 0.7579
NARENDRA MODI BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY VADODARA 845464 1161577 0.7279
C. R. PATIL BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY NAVSARI 820831 1160747 0.7072
GOPAL CHINAYYA SHETTY BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY MUMBAI NORTH 664004 946562 0.7015
NEIPHIU RIO NAGA PEOPLES FRONT NAGALAND 713372 1038910 0.6867

Who lost the maximum deposit?

No. of seats with < 1/6 votes
NO OF CANDIDATES PARTY
448 BAHUJAN SAMAJ PARTY
414 AAM AADMI PARTY
232 BAHUJAN MUKTI PARTY
178 INDIAN NATIONAL CONGRESS
140 SAMAJWADI PARTY

Who won with maximum difference in votes?

Maximum Difference
CONSTITUENCY WINNER CANDIDATE WINNER PARTY WINNER VOTES RUNNER UP CANDIDATE RUNNER UP PARTY RUNNER UP VOTES DIFFERENCE IN VOTES
VADODARA NARENDRA MODI BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY 845464 MISTRI MADHUSUDAN DEVRAM INDIAN NATIONAL CONGRESS 275336 570128
GHAZIABAD VIJAY KUMAR SINGH BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY 758482 RAJ BABBAR INDIAN NATIONAL CONGRESS 191222 567260
NAVSARI C. R. PATIL BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY 820831 MAKSUD MIRZA INDIAN NATIONAL CONGRESS 262715 558116
JAIPUR RAMCHARAN BOHARA BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY 863358 DR. MAHESH JOSHI INDIAN NATIONAL CONGRESS 324013 539345
SURAT DARSHANA VIKRAM JARDOSH BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY 718412 DESAI NAISHADHBHAI BHUPATBHAI INDIAN NATIONAL CONGRESS 185222 533190

Who won with least difference in votes?

Nail Biting Finishes
CONSTITUENCY WINNER CANDIDATE WINNER PARTY WINNER VOTES RUNNER UP CANDIDATE RUNNER UP PARTY RUNNER UP VOTES DIFFERENCE IN VOTES
LADAKH THUPSTAN CHHEWANG BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY 31111 GHULAM RAZA INDEPENDENT 31075 36
MAHASAMUND CHANDU LAL SAHU (CHANDU BHAIYA) BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY 503514 AJIT JOGI INDIAN NATIONAL CONGRESS 502297 1217
RAICHUR B.V.NAYAK INDIAN NATIONAL CONGRESS 443659 ARAKERA SHIVANAGOUDA NAYAK BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY 442160 1499
LAKSHADWEEP MOHAMMED FAIZAL P.P. NATIONALIST CONGRESS PARTY 21665 HAMDULLAH SAYEED INDIAN NATIONAL CONGRESS 20130 1535
HINGOLI RAJEEV SHANKARRAO SATAV INDIAN NATIONAL CONGRESS 467397 WANKHEDE SUBHASH BAPURAO SHIVSENA 465765 1632

Which constituency had maximum number of candidates?

All want to be leaders here
CONSTITUENCY NO OF CANDIDATES
CHENNAI SOUTH 43
VARANASI 43
HISAR 42
CHENNAI NORTH 41
BEED 40

EC allowed up to INR 70 Lakhs for election expenditure. Assuming that every candidate spent exactly 70 lakhs, we see some interesting results. Cost per seat excludes parties that won no seats.

Cost per vote. Best Performers.
PARTY TOTAL COST VOTES PARTY GOT COST PER VOTE
SWABHIMANI PAKSHA 14000000 1105073 12.6688
NAGA PEOPLES FRONT 14000000 994505 14.0774
TELUGU DESAM 210000000 14094545 14.8994
ALL INDIA ANNA DRAVIDA MUNNETRA KAZHAGAM 280000000 18115825 15.4561
BIJU JANATA DAL 147000000 9491497 15.4875
Cost per vote. Worst Performers.
PARTY TOTAL COST VOTES PARTY GOT COST PER VOTE
BHARAT VISHAL PARTY 7000000 161 43478.2609
RASHTRIYA JANKRANTI PARTY 7000000 217 32258.0645
RASHTRIYA JATIGAT AARAKSHAN VIRODHI PARTY 7000000 259 27027.027
AKHIL BHARATIYA ASHOK SENA 7000000 296 23648.6486
VISHVA SHAKTI PARTY 7000000 263 26615.9696
Cost per seat. Best Performers.
PARTY TOTAL COST SEATS PARTY WON TOTAL PARTICIPATED SEATS SUCCESS RATIO COST PER SEAT
ALL INDIA N.R. CONGRESS 7000000 1 1 1 7000000
KERALA CONGRESS (M) 7000000 1 1 1 7000000
SIKKIM DEMOCRATIC FRONT 7000000 1 1 1 7000000
BIJU JANATA DAL 147000000 20 21 0.9524 7350000
ALL INDIA ANNA DRAVIDA MUNNETRA KAZHAGAM 280000000 37 40 0.925 7567567.568
Cost per seat. Worst Performers.
PARTY TOTAL COST SEATS PARTY WON TOTAL PARTICIPATED SEATS SUCCESS RATIO COST PER SEAT
SAMAJWADI PARTY 1379000000 5 197 0.0254 275800000
JANATA DAL (UNITED) 651000000 2 93 0.0215 325500000
COMMUNIST PARTY OF INDIA 469000000 1 67 0.0149 469000000
AAM AADMI PARTY 3024000000 4 432 0.0093 756000000
INDEPENDENT 22645000000 3 3235 0.0009 7548333333

A total of 17 Candidates contested from 2 constituencies*

I shall represent this and that
CANDIDATECANDIDATE
A.K.Aggarwal Arvind Kumar
Ashok Kumar Ashok Singh
Bhola Singh Dinesh Kumar
Harekrishna Sarkar Jaswant Singh
Mulayam Singh Yadav Narendra Modi
Sanjay Kumar Sunil Kumar
Sutharapu Padmaiah Thakur
Hemendra Veer Singh Vijay Kumar Singh
Vinod Kumar

But did it really help them? Not exactly. Vijay Kumar Singh won and lost in one each. Narendra Modi, Mulayam Singh Yadav, Bhola Singh won in both. Other 13 candidates lost in both.

Report Card these winning Candidates
CANDIDATE PARTY CONSTITUENCY VOTES
VIJAY KUMAR SINGH BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY GHAZIABAD 758482
NARENDRA MODI BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY VADODARA 845464
NARENDRA MODI BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY VARANASI 581022
MULAYAM SINGH YADAV SAMAJWADI PARTY AZAMGARH 340306
MULAYAM SINGH YADAV SAMAJWADI PARTY MAINPURI 595918
BHOLA SINGH BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY BEGUSARAI 428227
BHOLA SINGH BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY BULANDSHAHR 604449

You can get all the complete set of reports here on GitHub.

* A string match of Names and Party were done. This is not fool proof. There could be 2 individuals with same name and belonging to the same party.

Edit: Earlier ALL INDIA TRINAMOOL CONGRESS were shown to have 44 seats, but it's 34. It was a typo. Thanks to Anand Kislay Singh for pointing out this error.

2 comments:

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  2. Thank you for sharing this nice information. this information is very useful for me................

    Ramesh Bidhuri

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